![]() ![]() The researchers clustered together conflicts that occurred in close proximity and within a specific time frame. ’91, adjunct professor of physics in the College of Arts and Sciences, is a co-author. The paper, “ A Scaling Theory for Armed Conflict Avalanches,” was published Oct. We found emergent patterns that align with physical dimensions of space and time in a unified and predictable way.” “People tend to think of conflict as very regional and context specific. ![]() Armed conflicts tend to follow remarkably simple statistical models,” said Eddie Lee, M.S. “Surprisingly, we found a universal pattern for how conflicts grow. ![]() They studied various forms of armed conflict, from battles between nation-states and violence against civilians to riots and protests, in search of common themes in seemingly complex phenomena. The work provides a statistical framework that could one day help anticipate deadly violence.Ĭornell researchers analyzed more than 100,000 reports of armed conflict in Africa, compiled by the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data Project over 20 years. But new research that ties together multiple aspects of political violence reveals universal dynamics in how conflicts emerge and expand. Chaos and uncertainty are hallmarks of armed conflict. ![]()
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